essays

preamble: the lakes of matrisonia

In a land where every body of water is a matrix, the locals have learned to swim through data structures and fish for eigenvalues. A travel diary from a place that definitely exists if you squint at the right equations.

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decomposition & distillation cycles, spiral, & their companions second-best worlds

in search of capital asset pricing coherence

Popular equity models like CAPM and factor investing mistake the results for the drivers. They've become a self-referential exercise in fitting lines to past data while conflating the real and financial forces that actually move markets. I take a stab at looking at what causal forces created these prices in the first place?

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declaration v revelation measurement error second-best worlds

the hidden volatility in being well

Health isn't a steady state—it's a controlled wobble. We mistake the absence of crisis for stability, but wellness is actually an elaborate dance of micro-corrections, false alarms, and near-misses that we never see. What if feeling "fine" is just successful volatility management?

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measurement error loss & uncertainty {experiencing v remembering}